Titans vs. Dolphins: Monday Night Football Odds Breakdown
The first Monday Night Football matchup in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season features the Miami Dolphins hosting the Tennessee Titans at Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a detailed look at the betting odds, analysis, and top player props for this exciting primetime showdown. How to Watch: Titans vs. Dolphins Current Titans vs. Dolphins Odds at BetOnline.ag Titans vs. Dolphins Analysis This matchup might not be the prettiest to watch. Both teams rank at the bottom of the league in EPA per play, with the Titans at 31st (-0.216) and the Dolphins at 30th (-0.215). Miami, however, has a legitimate excuse: starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa suffered another concussion in Week 2, and his return remains uncertain. The Dolphins have struggled offensively without Tagovailoa. Skylar Thompson didn’t impress before his injury against Seattle, and Tim Boyle wasn’t much better. Now, Tyler Huntley will get the opportunity to lead the Dolphins’ offense, offering more promise due to his mobility and past experience filling in for Lamar Jackson in Baltimore. The Titans, meanwhile, continue to face issues with quarterback Will Levis, who ranks poorly in Value vs. Average Starter metrics. His turnovers have been a major problem, and the Titans’ offensive line, ranked 31st, hasn’t helped matters. Expect Dolphins defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver to apply heavy pressure on Levis, taking advantage of Tennessee’s vulnerable O-line. On the other side, the Dolphins have a favorable matchup. Tennessee’s defense is average against both the run and pass, which means Miami running back De’Von Achane could bounce back from a tough Week 3 outing. This would create opportunities for Huntley to connect with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Achane recorded three receptions last week, but was targeted five times and had seven catches in both Week 1 and Week 2. It’s evident that Miami prioritizes getting Achane the ball in space, and this shouldn’t change with Huntley at quarterback. Additionally, Tennessee has struggled to cover running backs, allowing Breece Hall and Braelon Allen to combine for nine receptions in Week 2. Achane reaching five receptions in this game is quite possible. The Dolphins have been dependable at home under head coach Mike McDaniel, with an 18-5 SU and 14-9 ATS record as favorites since he took charge. Despite the uncertainty at quarterback, Miami’s strong home-field advantage and the Titans’ ongoing struggles could make the Dolphins an appealing pick.
Saints vs Falcons Week 4 Odds Preview: Kyle Pitts Exposes New Orleans Defensive Injuries
Kyle Pitts is looking to redeem himself after coming close to being a hero for the Atlanta Falcons last week. His missed touchdown opportunity and a controversial non-call for pass interference set him up for a potential breakout performance in Week 4 against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints vs Falcons matchup presents Pitts with a promising situation due to injuries within the New Orleans defense. Here’s a breakdown of the spread, total, and player prop odds at BetOnline for this NFC South clash on Sunday, September 29. Analysis Kyle Pitts’ history against the New Orleans Saints has been a mixed bag, but Week 4 could be his chance to shine. He’s finding his rhythm with new quarterback Kirk Cousins, and the Saints defense is struggling with injuries, especially at the linebacker position. Key coverage linebackers Nephi Sewell (out with a knee injury) and Demario Davis (questionable with a hamstring injury) could be missing, leaving the Saints vulnerable in the middle of the field — prime territory for Pitts to operate. Pitts is coming off his biggest game of the season, grabbing two of five targets, one for a 50-yard gain, totaling 59 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite his reduced playing time in Week 3 (down to 69% of snaps compared to 74% in Week 2 and 96% in Week 1), this matchup looks promising. Notably, the Saints allowed 170 yards to Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert in Week 3 and now face linebacker shortages. The Saints’ aggressive pass rush will likely force Cousins to use Pitts as his short-yardage safety option. Cousins’ mobility is limited, making Pitts a crucial target in short and intermediate routes when pressure comes. Pitts’ receiving yard total is currently set at 33.5 yards, which is down from earlier games. However, some betting forecasts project at least 39 yards for him, with some models even predicting up to 50 yards. Key Points: Saints vs Falcons Odds at BetOnline.ag Saints vs Falcons Spread and Over/Under Analysis Betting Trend to Know The Falcons have played under the total in both home games this season, with a 9-17 Over/Under record at home since 2021 (65% Unders). Saints vs Falcons Game Info Latest Injuries Atlanta Falcons: New Orleans Saints: With the Saints’ defense likely weakened and Kyle Pitts finding his form, this game sets up as a prime opportunity for the Falcons to exploit New Orleans’ vulnerabilities and secure a crucial divisional win.
Cowboys vs Giants Thursday Night Football Betting Preview
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has always been a divisive figure in the NFL, (especially after the Giants stumbled to an 0-2 start this season, prompting many to suggest the team bench their high-priced passer), however, Jones delivered a standout performance in team’s Week 3 victory over the Cleveland Browns, and the expectation is that he will carry that momentum into Thursday Night Football by utilizing his exceptional running ability. Jones compensates for his average passing skills with his knack for making plays with his legs, and against the aggressive Dallas Cowboys defense, he could find himself frequently on the move. The Cowboys, under new defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer, continue to rely heavily on blitzing, generating the highest pressure rate per dropback as they enter Week 4. This pressure will likely cause Jones to feel the heat, forcing him to scramble as Dallas ramps up the intensity. While Jones tends to struggle as a passer under pressure, he is one of the more capable running QBs in these scenarios. He ran six times against the Vikings’ blitz-heavy schemes in Week 1, five times in the unusual loss to Washington in Week 2, and carried the ball eight times in the victory over the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. Considering Dallas ranks at the bottom in multiple run-stop statistics this season, the Giants are likely to target the Cowboys’ defense on the ground. Dallas witnessed Lamar Jackson rush 14 times for 87 yards and a touchdown last Sunday. Jones, who has logged nine or more carries in three of his last five full games against Dallas, is projected to have as many as 7.6 rushing attempts on Thursday night. Projections are slightly more conservative at 6.6 carries but with potential for more, given the weaknesses of the Cowboys’ defense. With Malik Nabers facing tight coverage in the red zone, Jones remains a threat to take off and score. Dallas has already surrendered two touchdowns to QBs this season. The Cowboys defense seems to be losing confidence in their new defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer, and the offense struggles beyond CeeDee Lamb. The divisional underdog playing at home seems like the smarter choice for Thursday. Cowboys vs Giants Odds at BetOnline.ag Analysis The early line for this NFC East rivalry was Dallas -7 during the summer, but after the Cowboys allowed a significant number of points in the last two games, the official Week 4 spread opened at Dallas -5.5. This spread quickly shifted, with money coming in on the Giants moving the line as low as -4. Respected money then came back in favor of the Cowboys, pushing the spread back up to Dallas -5.5 and even -6. The Over/Under total began at 43.5 points but has since increased to 45.5 O/U following the Giants’ improved offensive performance in their win over Cleveland. Weather in East Rutherford could be a factor on Thursday night, with rain showers expected in the region that might arrive during the second half of the game. Cowboys vs Giants Betting Trend to Know The New York Giants are 11-6-1 against the spread (ATS) at MetLife Stadium under head coach Brian Daboll. This is a trend worth considering for those placing bets on the game. Giants Game Info Cowboys vs Giants Latest Injuries New York Giants Dallas Cowboys
NFC East Battle: Giants vs. Cowboys Thursday Night Showdown
An iconic NFC East rivalry takes center stage on “Thursday Night Football” as the New York Giants (1-2) welcome the Dallas Cowboys (1-2). Dallas is coming off two disappointing home losses, the latest being a defeat at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. The Cowboys’ once-feared offense has struggled to find its rhythm, and they desperately need to regain momentum to get back on track. On the other hand, the New York Giants finally secured their first win of the season, thanks in large part to rookie Malik Nabers, who caught two touchdown passes and injected life into their struggling offense. The question remains—could this be the start of something special for the Giants as they prepare for a crucial clash against their division rival? Giants vs. Cowboys Odds, Moneyline, Over/Under at BetOnline.ag Dallas is struggling along both its offensive and defensive lines. They can’t seem to establish a rushing game, with Ezekiel Elliott appearing slower than in previous seasons, and their run defense has been less than stellar. However, they still boast a stronger overall roster, which should give them the edge. The Giants, with their formidable defensive line, could keep this one closer than expected. Having dropped two in a row, the Cowboys are desperate to end their slump. The Giants might be the ideal opponent to regain confidence. Malik Nabers has been a standout for New York, leading all rookies in catches and receiving yards. However, Dallas’s primary issue remains their inability to stop the run, which could be a concern. If you’re looking to place a bet, taking the Cowboys and the points might be a safe option. This could be a much-needed “get-right” game for Dallas on the road, where they will aim to rediscover their form. The Cowboys have been plagued by slow starts, so expect them to make a concerted effort to get on the scoreboard early. While the Giants appear to be finding some offensive rhythm, the Cowboys’ defense should be able to tighten up and fend off a feisty New York team.
Titans vs. Dolphins Odds & Preview for MNF Week 4
As the Miami Dolphins head into their Monday Night Football matchup against the Tennessee Titans, uncertainty surrounding their quarterback situation could make this the perfect opportunity to back the Titans before the spread shifts further away from supporting an 0-3 team. Matchup Overview Game Details Opening Odds Bet Type Odds Spread Dolphins +1.5 / Titans -1.5 Moneyline Titans +100 / Dolphins -120 Over/Under Over 43.5 / Under 43.5 Titans vs. Dolphins Predictions Analysis of the Quarterback Situation The Dolphins are facing a significant challenge with their quarterback situation. Originally favored by 1.5 points, Miami’s spread has flipped to +1.5 due to Tua Tagovailoa being on injured reserve and uncertainty surrounding QB2 Skylar Thompson, who left last week’s game with a rib injury. If Thompson is unable to play, Miami may rely on either third-stringer Tim Boyle or recently signed Tyler Huntley, formerly of the Ravens. Given Thompson’s lackluster performance, the downgrade from him to Boyle or Huntley may not warrant a full 3-point adjustment, but it still poses concerns for Miami. Offensive Line Issues Compounding the quarterback woes, the Dolphins are dealing with injuries on their offensive line. Standout tackle Terron Armstead is in concussion protocol, and guard Isaiah Wynn is already sidelined with a quad injury. This further weakens an offensive line that has struggled, ranking near the bottom in pass block win rate and allowing six sacks to the Seahawks last week. Titans’ Defensive Strength The Titans’ defense has shown marked improvement under new defensive coordinator Dennard Wilson, ranking 11th in EPA allowed per play. Their aggressive style has led to them allowing just 4.7 yards per play, which ties for the sixth fewest in the league. This improvement could prove crucial against a compromised Dolphins offense. Miami’s Defensive Struggles Miami’s defense is also plagued by injuries, ranking poorly in pressure rate and sitting 30th in EPA allowed per dropback. Although they benefit from an extra day of rest, their struggles will challenge their ability to contain Tennessee’s offense. Offensive Strategies and Weather Impact Given the uncertainty at quarterback and the offensive line’s deficiencies, expect Miami to lean heavily on their running backs, particularly Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane. The Dolphins will likely utilize pre-snap motion to control the tempo, but their offense could still be slow and clock-consuming. On the other side, the Titans also face challenges with their offense. Despite a roster full of potential playmakers, second-year QB Will Levis has struggled under pressure, hindering their offensive efficiency. Both teams rank near the bottom in pace of play, which could lead to a low-scoring affair. Weather Considerations The weather could further impact the game, with high humidity (around 80%) and a “feels like” temperature of 102 degrees, along with a 60% chance of thunderstorms. These conditions may sap energy and limit scoring opportunities. With questions at quarterback and a weakened offensive line, the Dolphins face a tough matchup against the Titans. Expect the Titans to capitalize on Miami’s struggles, making them an appealing pick as road favorites. The potential for a slow-paced, low-scoring game also makes the Under a consideration for bettors.
Commanders vs. Bengals: Odds & Analysis for MNF
As the Cincinnati Bengals seek their first win of the season, they face the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football. With a fully healthy receiving corps, Joe Burrow is poised to carve up a struggling Commanders secondary. MNF Matchup Overview Game Details Opening Odds Bet Type Odds Spread Cincinnati -7.5 / Washington +7.5 Moneyline Cincinnati -350 / Washington +275 Over/Under Over 47.5 / Under 47.5 Analysis The Bengals are looking to bounce back from an 0-2 start, and the expectation is that they will score plenty of points on Monday night, which means Burrow will be heavily involved. After a rocky Week 1 performance, Burrow rebounded with a solid game against the Chiefs, throwing for two touchdowns and 258 yards. Now, facing a Commanders defense struggling to adjust to new schemes under head coach Dan Quinn, Burrow has an excellent opportunity to excel. Commanders’ Defensive Struggles Washington currently ranks last in EPA allowed per dropback and 31st in opponents’ success rate per pass. Quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Daniel Jones combined for a 127.6 passer rating against the Commanders, showcasing their defensive vulnerabilities. Additionally, Washington’s tendency to blitz (the fourth-highest rate in the league) plays into Burrow’s strengths, as he has historically excelled against aggressive defenses. Key Player Return Tee Higgins will be making his 2024 debut, adding another reliable target for Burrow. With 24 touchdowns in four seasons, Higgins is crucial in the red zone and will enhance Burrow’s chances of throwing multiple touchdown passes. Week 3 projections for Burrow range from 1.89 to 2.11 touchdowns, with my estimate sitting at 2.05—this is conservative, considering the Commanders’ red-zone defense has allowed touchdowns on 75% of stands inside the 20-yard line. Weather Considerations Weather should not significantly impact this matchup, allowing both offenses to operate efficiently. Burrow is projected to have at least two touchdown passes against the NFL’s weakest pass defense. Betting Trends to Consider Latest Injuries Cincinnati Bengals Player Position Status Vonn Bell SAF Questionable – Back Sheldon Rankins DT Out – Hamstring Mike Gesicki TE Injured – Calf Washington Commanders Player Position Status Brandon Coleman OT Injured – Ankle Dorance Armstrong DE Injured – Chest Benjamin St-Juste CB Injured – Groin With a determined Joe Burrow leading a fully equipped Bengals offense against a struggling Commanders defense, expect to see Burrow deliver a strong performance. My prediction is for him to throw over 1.5 touchdowns, helping Cincinnati secure their first win of the season in a high-scoring affair on Monday Night Football – but as ever in pro-football, anything can happen.
NFL WEEK 3: Giants at Browns – Odds & Analysis
After a lackluster offensive performance in Week 1, the Cleveland Browns bounced back to defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 2. While the offense still had its struggles, with quarterback Deshaun Watson averaging only 5.5 yards per pass attempt, it was a step in the right direction after his dismal showing against Dallas in Week 1. The Browns will now look to improve to 2-1 as they take on the New York Giants. The Giants are one of only eight teams to start the season 0-2. In Week 2, despite a breakout performance from first-round draft pick Malik Nabers, they became the first team in NFL history to score three touchdowns, not allow a single touchdown, and still lose. Unlucky! The Giants will look to change their fortunes in Week 3. Browns vs. Giants Odds, Moneyline, Over/Under The Browns are favored to win, according to BetOnline’s NFL odds. Here’s a breakdown of the betting lines: NFL Week 3 Thoughts Can Daniel Jones and the Giants’ offense be trusted to put up points? Not likely. And going up against Cleveland’s defense, led by their formidable pass rush, makes that task even more difficult. Deshaun Watson showed some improvement in Week 2. If he continues to progress and returns to his pre-trade form, the Browns could become strong contenders in the AFC North. Meanwhile, the Giants are discovering that Daniel Jones might not be their long-term answer at quarterback. Expect Myles Garrett to make a significant impact in this game, as he already has two sacks heading into Week 3. Cleveland had a strong win in Week 2 and should carry that momentum into Week 3. The Browns, led by Garrett and their improving offense, are the better bet to cover the spread. The Giants remain disorganized offensively, though Malik Nabers is a promising player. Myles Garrett is expected to have a field day against Daniel Jones, and quite likely recording multiple sacks in a Browns victory.
Jets, Patriots Tangle in AFC East Showdown Thursday Night
Last season, the Jets ended a miserable 15-game losing streak against the Patriots and this year, New York will try to end another long skid. The Jets have lost 8 in a row at home to New England and now it’s up to Aaron Rodgers to snap this run of futility. New England Patriots The Patriots offense, pedestrian at best as Jacoby Brissett has thrown for a total of 260 yards in two games. Hunter Henry had a career game vs the Seahawks, 8 catches for 109 yards while the run game was also impressive, 185 total yards. Expect some more ground and pound with Antonio Gibson and Rhamondre Stevenson as the Patriots will try to keep it close by playing mistake free, and avoiding turnovers and rely on that tough defense. New York Jets While they got the win in Tennessee the Jets were far from impressive, especially offensively. Breece Hall had just 62 yards while Aaron Rodgers was 18-30, 176 yards and fairly average at best. We’re still waiting for a breakout game from Rodgers, and I don’t think it’ll come against a team allowing the 5th fewest points. The defense, considered one of the strongest units, also hasn’t found its stride yet, just a couple of takeaways. The Jets need to find a way to make a statement and it could happen Thursday on the national stage. BEST PLAYER PROP PLAYS Rhamondre Stevenson: Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-114) Rhamondre Stevenson has been a beast for the Pats and should thrive against a Jets defense that has allowed 114.5 rushing yards per game so far. Stevenson has been productive rushing for 120 yards in Week 1 and 81 yards in Week 2. Stevenson should hit this number considering Jerod Mayo’s run-first offensive scheme. Breece Hall: Under 69.5 Rushing Yards (-114) Breece Hall has shown he can be a game breaker but on short rest, the Jets will likely rotate runners in the backfield meaning his carries may be limited. The Pats defense is allowing just 46.5 rushing yards per game, third-lowest in the league. Hall has been average thus far, 16 carries for 54 yards in Week 1, and 14 carries for 62 yards in Week 2. BEST BET: Under 38.5 (-110) This number is a tough one but the matchup and history justifies the wager. The teams have played to the under in seven of the last eight contests in New York and the total has gone under in the last four meetings. Right now, the Pats are a top-5 run team and the Jets will try to establish more of a run game with Breece Hall, which could mean a ground heavy attack from both sides. Both defenses have been solid and either team getting to 20 points may be a tough task. Game Betting Odds Patriots +6 (-110) Jets -6 (-110) Total: 38 Series head-to-head Patriots lead 74-55-1 all-time. New England is 15-1 vs Jets since 2016. The Jets have lost 8 straight to New England at home. Recent Trends The Patriots are 3-0 ATS in the last three games vs New York. Under has cashed in 4 straight meetings. In the last 20 games in the series, the Patriots are 18-2 SU, 11-8-1 ATS.
Commanders vs. Bengals Picks, & Odds for MNF Week 3
The Cincinnati Bengals are seeking their first win of the season, and a matchup against the Washington Commanders‘ forgiving defense in Week 3 might be exactly what Joe Burrow and the team need to get back on track. This non-conference showdown is the second of two Monday Night Football games in Week 3, with the Bengals hosting the Commanders at 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati has had a slow start to the season, falling to 0-2 after a narrow loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last Sunday. However, our early predictions suggest that the Bengals will turn things around in Week 3. Read on for more in our NFL picks below. Commanders vs. Bengals Predictions Early Spread Lean: Bengals -8.5 (-105 at BetOnline) The look-ahead line for this matchup was Bengals -7 in the summer, but after the Week 2 results, sportsbooks opened Cincinnati at -7.5, which quickly moved to the dead numbers of -8 and -8.5 early in the week. If you’re leaning toward the Bengals, getting them at the lowest possible number is crucial. Eight is considered a “dead number” in football betting, as less than 4% of games are decided by exactly eight points. Books will often move quickly through these dead numbers, and if money continues to back Cincinnati, this spread could rise to -9 or -9.5. After a solid performance against the Chiefs in Week 2 and the desperation to secure their first home win, public sentiment is likely to favor the Bengals. That appeal could be further boosted if star wide receiver Tee Higgins returns from injury. Higgins, who missed the first two games with a hamstring issue, is reportedly improving and may play on Monday Night Football. His return would give the Bengals’ offense a much-needed boost. After two games, Cincinnati’s offense sits in the middle of the pack in most metrics but looked significantly better while scoring 25 points against Kansas City. Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders are struggling to adjust to Dan Quinn’s defensive schemes. Washington ranks 31st in defensive DVOA and last in EPA allowed per play through two games, presenting an opportunity for the Bengals to exploit. Early Over/Under Lean: Under 48.5 (-115 at BetOnline) Analysis The Bengals’ defense put up a strong fight against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs last Sunday, but a pass interference penalty on the final drive set up Kansas City for a game-winning field goal. Cincinnati’s defense did an excellent job limiting Kansas City’s downfield passing attack, allowing only two offensive touchdowns and just one passing play of 20+ yards all season — a 44-yard touchdown from Mahomes. The Bengals currently rank 12th in EPA allowed per dropback. Washington’s rookie QB Jayden Daniels appeared more comfortable in Week 2’s win against New York, but he has not been aggressive downfield, posting the lowest intended air yards per attempt in the league through two weeks (4.4). If Washington falls behind early, the Commanders may have to rely more on Daniels’ arm than they prefer. Kliff Kingsbury’s offense is running at a fast tempo, leading the league in no-huddle plays. While some advanced metrics, like EPA per play (No. 4 entering Week 3), are favorable for Washington, they rank just 20th in offensive DVOA. Facing Cincinnati’s stout defense will be their toughest test yet. The Bengals’ offense is heavily reliant on the passing game, throwing at the third-highest rate in the league, while their rushing attack is averaging a modest 3.8 yards per carry. Given the large spread, Cincinnati could build an early lead with its passing game and then shift to a slower pace and short-yardage plays in the second half to protect the lead. Early Picks: With both teams looking to find their footing, the Bengals’ balanced attack and defensive strength should give them the edge in this Monday Night Football matchup.