The Brutalist is one of the smash hits of the year, securing 10 Oscar nominations and now favored to win two of the biggest honors of the night: Best Director and Best Picture. However, other films like Anora and Emilia Perez are gaining momentum as we approach the Academy Awards. Check out the full odds.
Best Director
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist -600
Brady Corbet won Best Director at the Golden Globes, and his odds have shortened even further. The Brutalist earned seven nominations and won three awards, including Best Director for Corbet. At just 36 years old, Corbet is one of the youngest contenders and still somewhat of an unknown. It will be interesting to see how the Academy perceives his artistic style, but at these short odds, the value might be lacking.
Sean Baker, Anora +500
Anora has been picking up steam as the Oscar season draws near. Sean Baker’s latest film marks a breakthrough in his career as a legitimate filmmaker. His unique style, blending humor with serious themes, has earned Anora impressive reviews. However, at this price, it’s hard to justify a bet, given that the film leans more toward a comedy-drama.
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez +700
Not long ago, little was known about Emilia Perez or its director, Jacques Audiard. However, Audiard has made a splash with this genre-breaking musical about a drug cartel leader who undergoes gender-confirmation surgery to live as her authentic self. After its Cannes debut, Netflix helped propel the film to Oscar contention. If the Academy is taken with this groundbreaking work, it could pull off an upset.
Best Director Odds
- Brady Corbet (The Brutalist): -600
- Sean Baker (Anora): +500
- Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez): +700
- Coralie Fargeat (The Substance): +1800
- James Mangold (A Complete Unknown): +2000
Best Picture
The Brutalist -140
At 3.5 hours long, The Brutalist is considered a masterpiece. As seen with previous years' winners like Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon, long movies aren't a deterrent to voters. Having already won Best Picture at the Golden Globes, The Brutalist has strong momentum heading into the Oscars. Despite some controversy surrounding its use of AI, it remains the favorite for Best Picture.
Emilia Perez +350
Emilia Perez is the most controversial film of the year but has made significant strides as we approach the Oscars. It has continued to win awards, including four honors at the Golden Globes. Despite its divisiveness, which could harm its chances in the voting, the film received 13 nominations and might surprise by taking home the win.
Anora +450
Since its premiere at Cannes, Anora has been accumulating awards, including the prestigious Palme d’Or. Sean Baker's comedy-drama about a young Brooklyn sex worker who impulsively marries the son of a Russian oligarch is gaining traction. The film earned six nominations and should receive votes for Best Picture, but will it be enough to challenge the top two contenders?
Best Picture Odds
I’m Still Here: +6600
The Brutalist: -140
Emilia Perez: +350
Anora: +450
Conclave: +700
Wicked: +1800
A Complete Unknown: +2500
The Substance: +2500
Dune: Part 2: +3300
Nickel Boys: +4000