The Academy Awards are just weeks away, and the betting odds for the leading roles are heating up. Adrien Brody and Demi Moore both won Golden Globes, which has caused their odds for an Oscar to shorten dramatically. However, other contenders have recently gained momentum, closing the gap. Let’s take a look at the latest odds.
Best Actor
Adrien Brody (The Brulalist) -150
Adrien Brody won the Golden Globe for Best Actor and is now an even bigger favorite for his role as László Tóth, a Hungarian-born Jewish architect who survives the Holocaust and seeks a new life in the United States. Struggling to achieve the American Dream, his life changes when a wealthy client helps him. His performance has been widely praised, but could the Academy resist voting for Brody in a role we’ve seen before—one that has already won an Oscar? The Brutalist is expected to win many awards, including this one.
Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) +120
Timothée Chalamet portrays iconic musician Bob Dylan in this film, putting his spin on Dylan's talking and singing voice. The Academy has shown a preference for biopics, which could work in Chalamet's favor. Chalamet was nominated for Call Me By Your Name in 2018 but lost to Gary Oldman. His odds, which were as high as +250 recently, are surging, and he could become the favorite before the Oscars.
2025 Best Actor Odds
- Adrien Brody: -150
- Timothée Chalamet: +120
- Colman Domingo: +1000
- Ralph Fiennes: +600
- Sebastian Stan: +2000
Best Actress
Demi Moore, The Substance -150
After a stunning win at the Golden Globes, Demi Moore has risen as the favorite for her role as Elisabeth Sparkle, a well-known aerobics instructor facing personal struggles as she turns 50. She is offered a substance that transforms her into a perfected version of herself. Once an underdog at the Globes, Moore is now the betting favorite for the Oscars. While she was previously around -200, her odds have shifted.
Mikey Madison, Anora +195
Mikey Madison presents a strong case with her role in Anora, where she plays a sex worker who marries the son of a rich Russian family. Her performance has propelled Anora into contention for Best Picture. Madison, a first-time Golden Globe nominee, may attract Academy voters’ attention, offering great value if you believe Moore's win was an anomaly.
Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here +400
After winning the Globe for Best Actress in a Drama, beating out Angelina Jolie and Nicole Kidman, Fernanda Torres has seen her odds drop significantly from +2000 to +400. Though she wasn't nominated for a SAG or BAFTA Award, she could climb into contention at the Oscars, challenging Moore and Madison.
Best Actress Odds
- Demi Moore, The Substance: -150
- Mikey Madison, Anora: +195
- Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here: +400
- Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez: +1200
- Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: +2500