The Chiefs will look to lock up the AFC West for a 9th straight season with a win against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football. However, a victory by LA would keep its slim hopes of winning the division alive. Have a look on the odds.
Road Warriors
The Chargers are 4-2 on the road after a huge win in Atlanta last week. The offense wasn’t impressive, with under 140 total yards, but the defense forced four turnovers, including a pick-six, to beat the Falcons. Can they continue their road success in Kansas City? LA is currently No. 1 in the league in scoring defense, allowing just 15.7 points per game. This unit held the Chiefs to just 17 points earlier this season and is coming off a tremendous performance in Atlanta. The Chargers should be able to give Patrick Mahomes and his offense fits all night. However, the real challenge will be how the offense fares against the No. 3 run defense in the NFL. LA is without its top running back, JK Dobbins, and only rushed for 56 yards last week. If the run game can’t be established, it’ll fall on Justin Herbert to throw the ball effectively against the 22nd-ranked pass defense.
Convince Us, Chiefs
While they continue to win, the Chiefs haven’t had a convincing win since beating the Saints and 49ers by double digits. Since then, tight finishes, questionable officiating, and surviving some botched snaps have helped KC win some games. Last week, the Chiefs were outgained by more than 100 yards by the Raiders, but a late fumble gave them a 2-point win. In fact, KC’s last 3 wins have come by 3 points or less. The Chiefs will need more from their running game, which only had 63 yards last week. They rushed for 101 yards against the Chargers earlier this season. Another important note: the Chiefs have zero wins of more than a touchdown in their last six games. They’ve been escaping with wins by the skin of their teeth. And with LA’s top defensive unit, they may have a repeat performance Sunday night.
Prediction: UNDER 43
With the best scoring defense in the Chargers and a Chiefs defense that plays well at home, the under makes a lot of sense here. They combined for just 27 points earlier this season, and this should be another low-scoring game. It wouldn’t be surprising to see a late field goal decide this one, so sticking to the under seems like the best bet.
Game Betting Odds
- Chargers +4
- Chiefs -4
- Total: 43
- Moneyline: LA +175, KC -205
Recent Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 1-8 in their last nine games against top-10 defenses.
- The Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine against top-10 defenses.
- The UNDER has hit in 20 of the last 27 Chargers games.
- The Chiefs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
- The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5.