The top-ranked female tennis players from around the world will gather this weekend for the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris. Iga Swiatek is a heavy favorite to win gold for Poland, and deservedly so.
Dominant on clay, Swiatek will be competing at the famous Stade Roland Garros, where she has consistently excelled. Read on for an expert women’s Olympic tennis prediction and insights into this year’s Olympic tennis betting.
Event Details
- Event: Women’s Tennis (Singles)
- Dates: July 27 to August 3, 2024
- Location: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
- Broadcast: Peacock, NBC Sports
2024 Women’s Olympic Tennis Betting Odds
Iga Swiatek is the overwhelming favorite at (-200) to win gold at BetOnline, followed by Coco Gauff at (+650) and Elena Rybakina at (+1100). Other notable contenders include Jasmine Paolini, Mirra Andreeva, Naomi Osaka, and Zhang Qinwen.
Is Swiatek a Lock to Win the Gold Medal in Paris?
Iga Swiatek, the three-time defending champion of the French Open, is the standout favorite in this tournament. Her dominance on clay is unparalleled, with a raw clay Elo rating over 250 points higher than her nearest competitors, Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff. This translates to an approximate 80% chance of defeating any opponent she faces at Roland Garros, equating to a line of (-400) or shorter.
Swiatek boasts an impressive 132-17 career record on clay, reflecting an 88.6% win rate. In 2024 alone, she has a 21-1 record on the surface, having already won tournaments in Madrid, Rome, and Paris. Swiatek's performance on clay is approaching the legendary status of Rafael Nadal, despite the more volatile nature of three-set matches.
Coco Gauff: Best Shot to Upset Swiatek
Coco Gauff, the second favorite, has matured significantly since her breakthrough at Wimbledon, where she defeated Venus Williams at just 15 years old. Now ranked #2 in the world, Gauff secured her maiden major title at the 2023 U.S. Open. Despite lingering questions about her forearm, she remains a formidable competitor.
Gauff will compete in women’s singles, women’s doubles, and mixed doubles at the Olympics, carrying significant expectations as Team USA’s flag bearer.
Her best chance of winning gold likely hinges on an unexpected injury to Swiatek.
Other Contenders to Watch
Elena Rybakina (+1100)
Elena Rybakina, the third favorite, recently reached the Wimbledon semifinals and had a strong clay court season, advancing to the Madrid semifinals and French Open quarterfinals. Although she missed medaling in Tokyo after losing to Elina Svitolina in the bronze medal match, Rybakina's consistency on the women's circuit makes her a credible threat, especially with a favorable draw.
Caroline Garcia (+6600)
A potential longshot bet, Caroline Garcia, will benefit from home support as she competes in Paris. Although nearing the end of her career, Garcia has shown flashes of brilliance, including victories over Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini this year.
With the crowd behind her, Garcia’s 66 to 1 odds may offer value for those looking for a high-risk, high-reward bet.
All to play for, upsets possible
Iga Swiatek’s dominance on clay makes her the clear favorite to win gold at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris. While her short odds reflect her superiority, backing her still offers value given her current form and track record at Roland Garros.
Coco Gauff presents the best alternative, especially for those hoping for an American triumph. Other contenders like Elena Rybakina and Caroline Garcia provide additional options for bettors looking for potential upsets.