At 7-2, the Buffalo Bills enter Week 10 with a commanding lead in the AFC East, as the next-best team in their division, the New York Jets, sit at 3-6. Quarterback Josh Allen has been excellent this season and looks to keep the momentum going into Indianapolis this Sunday for a fifth straight Buffalo victory. On the other side, the Indianapolis Colts sit at 4-5 and have dropped two straight games. They are hoping to see the Joe Flacco of old, not the aging version, this week. Check BetOnline for the full odds on this event:
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -117
Josh Allen has been elite this season for Buffalo, throwing for 17 touchdowns while being intercepted just twice. He has completed four games with a completion percentage above 70%, and he currently ranks 4th in QBR in the league. Now for the key stat: Allen has thrown for multiple touchdowns in six of his nine games, including his last four straight. Keep it rolling, Bills Mafia — Allen will hit the over on this one.
James Cook Over 62.5 Rushing Yards -115
Yes, running back James Cook was held to fewer than 45 rushing yards in two of his last three games. However, between those contests, he delivered a dominant 111-yard performance with two rushing touchdowns. That came on the road in Seattle, where he earned 6.5 yards per carry. On the season, he’s averaging nearly five yards per carry.
What’s important here is that the Colts rank last in the AFC and 31st in the NFL in rushing defense, giving up nearly 150 yards per game. Additionally, the Colts' defense has allowed 120 or more rushing yards in seven games this year. I’ve got just one question for you: Can you smellllll what James is Cookin'? The over is the play here.
Indianapolis Colts
Joe Flacco Under 235.5 Passing Yards -113
At 39 years old, Joe Flacco is no longer the same quarterback he was with the Baltimore Ravens. He’s thrown for over 200 yards just once this season, and that was against a struggling Jacksonville squad. Last week, against a team more at Buffalo's level, the Minnesota Vikings, Flacco threw for just 179 yards and an interception. This week, he faces a Buffalo defense that allows fewer than 210 passing yards per game. The under is a safe bet here.
Jonathan Taylor Over 78.5 Rushing Yards -115
With Flacco struggling under center, expect the Colts to lean on their backfield for production. That means Jonathan Taylor should get plenty of carries and rack up yards. Taylor has eclipsed 100 rushing yards in three separate games this year, including matchups against Chicago, Houston, and Green Bay.
Both the Packers and Texans have better rush defenses than the Bills, so this is no small feat. Taylor also hit the over against the Steelers three games ago, which is noteworthy, as Pittsburgh has the fourth-best rush defense in the NFL. The over on 78.5 rushing yards looks good here.
Game Betting Odds
- Buffalo Bills -4
- Indianapolis Colts +4
- Total: 47