With MLB Opening Day set for Thursday, the postseason landscape has been completely reshaped over the last ten weeks. BetOnline.ag has updated the "To Make the Playoffs" odds, and the movements since the initial January 6 release reveal significant shifts in team expectations.
The Biggest Shake-Up: Milwaukee Brewers The Milwaukee Brewers represent the largest probability shift in the league. Opening with a 70% chance to reach the postseason, that number has cratered to 50% (Even money). Whether due to injury concerns or the strength of the NL Central, the Brew Crew is now essentially a coin-flip to see October baseball.
Rising Contenders: Royals and Pirates The Kansas City Royals are the darlings of the American League market, seeing their postseason probability jump from 34% to 46% (+120). Similarly, the Pittsburgh Pirates have nearly doubled their chances, moving from an 18% longshot to a 31% (+220) contender.
Falling Favorites: Blue Jays and Cardinals The market has soured considerably on the Toronto Blue Jays, who dropped from 78% to 63%, and the St. Louis Cardinals, whose playoff hopes plummeted from 21% to a dismal 9% (+1000).
Updated Postseason Odds (Select Teams):
- Los Angeles Dodgers: 99% (-10000)
- New York Mets: 74% (-290)
- Philadelphia Phillies: 74% (-280)
- New York Yankees: 73% (-275)
- Toronto Blue Jays: 63% (-170)
- Milwaukee Brewers: 50% (-115)
- San Diego Padres: 47% (+115)