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Mavs vs Thunder Prediction, Picks, Odds for Tonight’s NBA Playoff Game

May 9, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks are set to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal series. Despite a tough Game 1, the Mavs are looking to bounce back strongly.

Game Details:

  • Event: NBA Playoffs – Second Round – Game 3
  • Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Date: Thursday, May 9, 2024
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN

The series now moves to Oklahoma City after a split in Dallas, where the Mavericks will look to overcome the challenges posed by the top-seeded Thunder and their star, Luka Doncic's, shooting struggles.

Players to Watch

Daniel Gafford has emerged as a crucial player for the Mavericks, stepping up in the absence of key players in the frontcourt. With potentially shaky shooting from Luka Doncic, Gafford is expected to play a significant role in the paint. As the Mavericks face a void in their frontcourt, our NBA picks are backing Gafford to make a substantial impact against the Thunder.

2024 season NBA MVP Luka Doncic, despite concerns over his form due to injury, remains a critical player -  facing challenges in maintaining his usual performance level.

Betting Breakdown

Mavericks vs Thunder Opening Odds:

  • Spread: Dallas +5 (-105) | Oklahoma City -5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Dallas +174 | Oklahoma City -195
  • Over/Under: Over 218.5 (-106) | Under 218.5 (-106)

View The Latest Odds Here

The Thunder have shown strong form, pulling away in Game 1 and are currently favorites to win tonight’s game as well. The spread has seen a slight adjustment from the opening, reflecting confidence in the Thunder's continued strong performance.

Game Analysis

The Thunder are a formidable opponent, with Oklahoma City pulling away in Game 1 and showing why they were the top seed. The Mavericks, on the other hand, struggled with their shooting, particularly from Luka Doncic, who went 6-of-19 in the last game, including 1-of-8 from beyond the arc. If he struggles again tonight, it could lead to more rebound opportunities for players like Gafford.

Despite these challenges, the Mavericks have shown resilience, and with adjustments, they could close the gap. Gafford’s presence in the paint and on the glass could be more pronounced if Doncic's shooting woes continue.

Predictions and Picks

The consensus leans towards the Thunder to take another win at home given their recent form and the betting trends. However, the Mavericks have the potential to make it a tight contest, especially if Gafford can exploit the opportunities in the paint and Doncic can manage an efficient game despite his knee concerns.

With the series intensity increasing, expect a competitive matchup. However, our pick leans towards the Thunder, considering their strong performance and home advantage.

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