The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Miami to face the Dolphins as 3.5-point underdogs in Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season.
The over/under is currently set at 48.5 for what should be an exciting matchup.
Jaguars vs Dolphins Week 1 Matchup:
- Date and Time: September 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +3.5 (-118) | +146 | Over 48.5 (-114) |
| Miami Dolphins | -3.5 (-104) | -174 | Under 48.5 (-106) |
Jaguars vs Dolphins Picks for Week 1
- Pick: Dolphins -3.5 (-104)
The Dolphins are favored to win by at least 3.5 points, and I’m backing them to cover by a touchdown. Miami performed well at home last season, going 6-3 against the spread (ATS) and 9-2 ATS as the favorite.
While Miami's offense may not be as explosive as it was last year, they've added new weapons to their arsenal. Jaylen Waddle is healthy, and Tyreek Hill and De'Von Achane are both expected to play on Sunday.
Jacksonville's secondary remains a work in progress, and the matchup between Waddle and Ronald Darby looks like one of the biggest mismatches of the week. It’s not unreasonable to think that Miami could edge a win at Hard Rock Stadium.
Jaguars vs Dolphins Player Prop Bet
- Prop Pick: Christian Kirk UNDER 4.5 Receptions (+120)
Christian Kirk went over 4.5 receptions in only five games last season. This was when Trevor Lawrence had limited trust in his other receivers, with Zay Jones missing half the season and Calvin Ridley being inconsistent.
This year, Kirk will be competing for targets with rookie Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis, while tight end Evan Engram continues to be a favorite target for Lawrence. Given that the Dolphins' secondary is projected to be one of the NFL's strongest, Kirk could well be kept under wraps in Week 1.
Jaguars vs Dolphins Betting Trends
- Jacksonville Jaguars:
- 1-4 Against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games against an AFC opponent.
- 3-9 straight up (SU) in their last 12 games played in September.
- Miami Dolphins:
- 16-4 SU in their last 20 home games.
- 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in September.
The trends favor the Dolphins, who are historically strong at home, especially in early-season games. Expect Miami to continue this trend and cover the spread in their Week 1 matchup against the Jaguars.