While bettors are vigorously trying to handicap the four NFL playoff games, they’re also keeping an eye on player props and looking for the best value bets. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered as we give our favorite plays for Saturday and Sunday, including the fresh odds!
Travis Kelce: Over 5.5 Receptions
Travis Kelce actually had more catches in 2023 than last season, finishing with 97 receptions and 823 yards. Kelce had five catches vs. Houston back in December but always steps up in the playoffs. In 2024, he averaged 8 receptions per game in the postseason, and the previous year, 9 catches. He had Week 18 off and will benefit from the rest. When you consider how Patrick Mahomes always seems to find his favorite receiver, this is almost a no-brainer.
Nico Collins: OVER 6.5 Receptions
Nico Collins is coming off a 7-reception, 122-yard game against the Chargers, and with Kansas City being one of the better run defenses in the league, the Texans will have to rely on the pass. Additionally, the game script and spread suggest the Texans will have to play from behind, meaning C.J. Stroud will likely take to the air. When the teams met in the regular season, Collins was targeted 10 times, recording 7 receptions. The Chiefs have had issues defending breaking routes, something Collins excels at.
Jayden Daniels: OVER 9.5 Rushing Attempts
Jayden Daniels has been the talk of the NFL, leading the Commanders to their first win in 20 years, finishing with 268 passing yards and two touchdowns, but also running the ball 13 times. He averaged nearly 9 attempts per game during the season, finishing with 891 yards. The Lions’ defensive game plan of bringing extra pressure could keep Daniels in check, but it will likely lead to him having to make plays with his legs. Daniels is very good at taking chances when he sees space in the secondary. Expect the Commanders' offensive coordinator, Kliff Kingsbury, to have several designed runs for Daniels in this game.
VALUE PLAY: Justice Hill: Anytime TD (+400)
With QB1 and RB1 for both teams being obvious choices for a TD in this game, we’re going to look for value in the best game of the weekend. RB Justice Hill has five touchdowns this season, with four of them coming through the air. The Bills actually ranked dead last at defending receiving backs, giving up 750 yards and 16 touchdowns. Hill has scored a TD in two of the last three games, including finding the end zone against the Bills back in Week 4. You may also want to bet the over for his receptions and yards, as he had 6 catches for 78 yards in that game vs. Buffalo.