It’s an early season battle for first in the AFC East after the Bills and Dolphins came away with
wins in Week 1. On paper, this is a mismatch as Buffalo has won 11 of the past 12 meetings.
But Miami feels this is the year they turn things around starting with the Thursday night
showdown.
Buffalo Bills
The Bills got a bit of a scare last week having to rally from a 17-3 deficit to earn a 34-28 win at
home. But the score did flatter Arizona scoring a kickoff return and some penalties that went the
Cardinals way. Buffalo’s new look receiving corps had nine different players with a catch and
five of those players had 23 or more yards. There is some question on Josh Allen’s hand, but
he is expected to be fine. On defense the Bills do look different but will have troubles trying to
contain the second highest scoring team last year.
Miami Dolphins
While they scored more than 29 points a game a year ago, the Dolphins had a tough start
scoring just 7 points in the first half and needing a last second field goal to beat the Jaguars.
That being said, you know Mike McDaniel will find a way to get back on track especially on the
ground where Miami only rushed for 81-yards as a team. We should see more of Raheem
Mostert, De'Von Achane, and Jeff Wilson Jr. as well as some big plays from Tyreek Hill.
Best Prop Plays
Josh Allen: 248+ passing yards (-108)
Josh Allen loves to play against the Dolphins. He averaged 339.5 yards passing in two wins
last season and while he did lose Stef Diggs and Gabe Davis, the Bills QB has been
comfortable with his new receivers including Keon Coleman. Khalil Shakir could be in for a big
game too after going over 100 yards last season against Miami. Allen is a threat to run so if
Miami tries to take away the run, it’ll open up passing lanes for him to go over this total.
Tyreek Hill 100+ receiving yards (-114)
All Tyreek Hill needs is one big play to rack up yards as we saw last week where an 80-yard
touchdown led to a big day for the receiver, 130-yards on 7 catches. And after the Miami police
incident, Hill could be ready to make a huge statement on the national stage. But here’s an
interesting fact, over his career Hill has never broken the 100-yard mark against the Bills in a
regular season game.
Game Betting Odds
Bills +1.5 (-105)
Dolphins -1.5 (-115)
Total: 49
Check out the Odds HERE
Recent Trends
Dolphins 10-7 ATS last season.
As 1.5-point favorites or more, Miami went 9-2 ATS.
Bills were 7-9-1 in 2023.
Both teams didn’t cover in Week 1 wins.