After the shocking news that Joey Chestnut is out of the 2024 competition, the betting odds
have been blown wide open. Chestnut is not only the most famous food eating competitor in
the world, he has been unbeatable 8 straight titles, and 15 of the last 16 events. But now
Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest is up for grabs, as seen by the latest betting odds. So let’s try
to find out who has the edge when it comes to guzzling down wieners on the Fourth of July.
James Webb +160
He is Australia’s competitive eating champion and now James Webb has a chance to prove he
can win the coveted Mustard belt in the U.S. In 2023, Webb finished 3rd, scarfing down 47 hot
dogs in ten minutes. Chestnut won the event with 62. He’s considered the Southern
Hemisphere Champion, and now has a chance at the global title.
Geoffrey Esper +115
Geoffrey Esper is also considered one of the favorites. He finished second last year eating 49
dogs and regularly places in the top rankings. He is a competitive eater with his own YouTube
Channel. He’s eaten 83 slices of pizza in ten minutes and 281 wings in the same time. So he’s
proven he definitely has an appetite.
Nick Wehry +300
He could be a bit of a dark horse considering competitive eating runs in the family. Nick Wehry
ate 45 hot dogs at last year's event and also has set marks for eating 50 hard-boiled eggs in
just 3 minutes and 4 seconds. Last June, won his third straight strawberry shortcake eating
record by downing 21 pounds of it in just eight minutes. He is engaged to Miki Sudo, the
number one women’s competitive eater in the world.
Bartley Weaver +800
Bartley Weaver finished fifth last year, with 41 hot dogs, still 21 from top spot. But without
Chestnut, the race is wide open and Weaver could surprise. A fun fact about Weaver, he’s the
real life mascot for the Tennessee Titans.
Nathan's Hot Dog Contest Winner Odds (Without Chestnut)
Geoffrey Esper +115 James Webb +160 Nick Wehry +300
Bartley Weaver IV +800 Gideon Oji +2000
Winner of hot dogs eaten Odds (Without Chestnut)
Over 49.5 Hot Dogs -120 Under 49.5 Hot Dogs -120
In the last four competitions, all won by Chestnut, the second place total has not been over 49
hot dogs. With the total sitting at 50.5, it’ll be a tough number for any of the competitors to
reach, considering it doesn’t happen often, and also, they don’t chase Chesnut’s ridiculous
pace.
List of Recent Winners & Hot Dogs Eaten
2023 Joey Chestnut 62
2022 Joey Chestnut 63
2021 Joey Chestnut 76
2020 Joey Chestnut 75
2019 Joey Chestnut 71
2018 Joey Chestnut 74
2017 Joey Chestnut 72
2016 Joey Chestnut 70
2015 Matt Stone 62
2014 Joey Chestnut 61
2013 Joey Chestnut 69
2012 Joey Chestnut 68
2011 Joey Chestnut 62
2010 Joey Chestnut 54
2009 Joey Chestnut 68
2008 Joey Chestnut 59
2007 Joey Chestnut 66