Event Details
- UFC Louisville Co-Main Event
- Fighters: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
- Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024
- Location: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky
- Time: Prelims (5:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (8:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN+/ESPN
- Odds: UFC at BetOnline
Overview
The UFC is back on the road this week for UFC Fight Night, also known as UFC on ESPN 57.
The main event features a middleweight clash between Jared Cannonier, ranked No. 4, and Nassourdine Imavov, ranked No. 8 in the UFC fighter rankings.
Preceding this bout is the light heavyweight co-main event between former title challenger Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby.
Here’s an analysis and betting breakdown for the co-main event:
Fighter Backgrounds & h2h Stats
| Dominick Reyes | Dustin Jacoby | |
| 12-4-0 | Record | 19-8-1 |
| 6' 4" | Height | 6' 3" |
| 205 lbs | Weight | 204 lbs |
| 77" | Reach | 76" |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 4.75 | Sig Strk LPM | 5.53 |
| 51.49 | Sig Strk Acc | 50.90 |
| 0.36 | Takedown Average | 0.36 |
| 28.57 | Takedown Accuracy | 25.00 |
| 0.36 | Submission Average | 0.00 |
Dominick Reyes (+185)
- Record: 12-4
- Rank: No. 15 in UFC light heavyweight rankings
- Recent Performance: Reyes is on a four-fight losing streak, with his last fight being a knockout loss to Ryan Spann in November 2022. His previous opponents include former champions Jon Jones, Jan Blachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka.
Dustin Jacoby (-220)
- Record: 19-8-1
- UFC Career: Jacoby is in his second stint with the UFC. He was unbeaten in seven fights from October 2020 to July 2022 but has gone 1-3 since. His latest bout was a decision loss to Alonzo Menifield in December 2023.
Dominick Reyes Betting Breakdown
Reyes is known for his striking abilities, with powerful and technically sound punches. Despite his current losing streak, it’s important to note that three of his last four opponents have held the UFC light heavyweight title. However, his knockout losses, particularly to Spann, are concerning.
Key Statistics
- Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 4.75
- Striking Accuracy: 50%
- Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 3.77
- Striking Defense: 48%
Reyes’ recent knockout losses suggest a vulnerability against strong strikers, which is a key consideration in this matchup.
Dustin Jacoby Betting Breakdown
Jacoby has a background in high-level kickboxing and has shown strong striking skills since returning to the UFC. Despite struggling against tougher competition, his technical proficiency and power make him a formidable opponent.
Key Statistics
- Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 5.53
- Striking Accuracy: 47%
- Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 4.07
- Striking Defense: 57%
Jacoby's ability to mix up his striking techniques and maintain a high volume gives him an edge, especially considering Reyes' recent performances.
Betting Picks and Predictions
This matchup is expected to be a striking battle. Based on recent performances and statistical analysis, the recommendation is to bet on Dustin Jacoby to win by knockout.
Reyes’ recent chin issues make him susceptible to Jacoby’s striking prowess.
Best Bets Summary
- Bet: Dustin Jacoby to win by knockout
UFC Louisville All Scheduled fights and fighter records
Here’s a breakdown of the fighter records for UFC Louisville via Sports-Schedules.com
- Puja Tomar (8-4-0) v Rayanne dos Santos (14-7-0)
- Taylor Lapilus (19-4-0) v Cody Stamann (21-6-1)
- Denise Gomes (8-3-0) v Eduarda Moura (10-0-0)
- John Castaneda (21-6-0) v Daniel Marcos (15-0-0)
- Andrea Lee (13-9-0) v Montana De La Rosa (12-9-1)
- Brad Katona (15-3-0) v Jesse Butler (12-5-0)
- Carlos Prates (18-6-0) v Charles Radtke (9-3-0)
- Thiago Moises (18-7-0) v Ludovit Klein (21-4-1)
- Punahele Soriano (9-4-0) v Miguel Baeza (10-3-0)
- Julian Marquez (9-4-0) v Zachary Reese (6-1-0)
- Dustin Stoltzfus (15-5-0) v Brunno Ferreira (11-1-0)
- Ricky Turcios (13-3-0) v Raul Rosas Jr. (8-1-0)
- Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) v Dominick Reyes (12-4-0)
- Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) v Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0)